Mearsheimer hat auch etwas zu sagen.
Nice.
Übrigens in Fussnote 4 am Ende des Artikels ist noch ein kleines Bonmot versteckt. Dort sind all diejenigen aufgezählt, die die Chancen der UA-Counteroffensive so zu analysieren in der Lage waren, dass die Prognose dem tatsächlichen Ergebnis entsprach.
Carlo Masala ist nicht auf der Liste. Überhaupt ist nur fringeMedia auf der Liste.
Oh Johny...
[...]
Nevertheless, there was pervasive optimism about Ukraine’s battlefield prospects among Western policymakers, pundits and editorial writers in the mainstream media, retired generals, and other experts in the American and European foreign policy establishments.[4]
[...]
[4] As best I can tell, the only Western policymaker or establishment pundit who argued that the counteroffensive would fail was Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban. He said it “would be a bloodbath” and that Ukraine would not win a meaningful military victory. https://www.rt.com/news/577355…ukraine-counteroffensive/ It is worth noting that General Mark Milley, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, argued in November 2022 that Kyiv should negotiate a settlement, because its prospects on the battlefield were only going to deteriorate moving forward. His advice, which was rejected by Ukraine and the White House, would seem to argue against launching the counteroffensive. https://www.washingtonpost.com…egotiations-milley-biden/ Finally, there are several individuals who operate on alternative media who argued that the counteroffensive would fail before it was launched. They include Brian Berletic, Alex Christoforou, Glenn Diesen, Douglas Macgregor, Bernhard Horstmann (Moon of Alabama), Alexander Mercouris, and Scott Ritter.