Cold War Reloaded - Der neue Ost-West Konflikt

Zitat von Schilli_Burger

Zelensky (notfalls auch die EU) wird von den USA schneller fallengelassen wie die Kurden.

Ja das mag sein, aber noch ist es nicht so weit.

Im Gegenteil - jetzt wo Trump seine zweite Regentschaft angetreten, und den Krieg nicht wie versprochen in den ersten 24 Stunden beendet hat, und wo es so langsam auch den dümmstenbesten westlichen QualitätsjournalistInnen dämmert, dass sie mit der Story von der angeblichen Kompromittierung und Steuerung des goldenen Kaisers durch den Russenhitler einer durch sie selbst mit in die Welt gesetzten Verschwörungstheorie aufgesessen sind, wir erst recht völlig ignoriert, in welchem desolaten Zustand sich die ukrainische Kriegstüchtigkeit und -Willigkeit mittlerweile befindet, und stur weiter darauf insistiert, dass an der Ostfront bis zum letzten Ukrainer weiter für "unsere" #Freiheit gestorben werden muss.

Und der Allerletzte, der diesen Kurs aufgeben wird - selbst wenn er mit einem rechtsradikalisierten Friedrich Merz und seiner anti-woken, demagogischen Partei der weißen christlichen Ausländerfeinde koalieren muss , um weiter dabei mitreden zu dürfen - ist Robert Habeck.

Von der Galizischen Provinz bis in den Weißen Kaiserpalast im fernen Zentrum des Imperiums - Geschichtsverdrehung wirkt:

So sehen Sieger aus! Der Russe hat fertig.

"Simple, elegant, and effective"!

Pending approval by U.S. Department of Government Efficiency...

Ich glaube, es gibt keine teurere, ineffizientere und von offener Korruption, Drehtüreffekten und Vetternwirtschaft durchseuchtere Rüstungsindustrie als die amerikanische. Da ist unser europäisches #Freiheitsgeld wirklich gut angelegt!

Der Russe hat eben einen etwas derben Humor...

a propos...:

Zitat von Utan

Geschichtsverdrehung wirkt:

Zitat von Wikipedia: "Wartime collaboration in the Baltic states"

[...] From among Omakaitse members were recruited Estonian policemen, members of the Estonian Auxiliary Police and officers of the Estonian 20th Waffen-SS Division.^[9]

The Germans formed a puppet government, the Estonian Self-Administration, headed by Hjalmar Mäe. This government had considerable autonomy in internal affairs, such as filling police posts.^[9] The Security Police in Estonia (SiPo) had a mixed Estonian-German structure (139 Germans and 873 Estonians) and was formally under the Estonian Self-Administration.^[10] Estonian police cooperated with Germans in rounding up Jews, Roma, communists and those deemed enemies of existing order or asocial elements. The police also helped to conscript Estonians for forced labor and military service under German command.^[11] Most of the small population of Estonian Jews fled before the Germans arrived, with only about a thousand remaining. All of them were arrested by Estonian police and executed by Omakaitse.^[12] Members of the Estonian Auxiliary Police and 20th Waffen-SS Division also executed Jewish prisoners sent to concentration and labor camps established by the Germans on Estonian territory.^[13]

Immediately after entering Estonia, the Germans began forming volunteer Estonian units the size of a battalion. By January 1942, six Security Groups (battalions No. 181-186, about 4,000 men) had been formed and were subordinate to the Wehrmacht 18th Army.^[14] After the one-year contract expired, some volunteers transferred to the Waffen-SS or returned to civilian life, and three Eastern Battalions (No. 658-660) were formed from those who remained.^[14] They fought until early 1944, after which their members transferred to the 20th Waffen-SS Division.[...]

The Estonian Security Police and SD,^[21] the 286th, 287th and 288th Estonian Auxiliary Police battalions, and 2.5–3% of the Estonian Omakaitse (Home Guard) militia units (between 1,000 and 1,200 men) took part in rounding up, guarding or killing of 400–1,000 Roma and 6,000 Jews in concentration camps in the Pskov region of Russia and the Jägala, Vaivara, Klooga and Lagedi concentration camps in Estonia.

Guarded by these units, 15,000 Soviet POWs died in Estonia: some through neglect and mistreatment and some by execution.^[22] [...]

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Offenbar hat der Russe einen der wichtisgten "unabhängigen" königlich-britischen Thinktanks zu Fragen der Staatssicherheit und Verteidigung gehackt, um sein gefährliches Narrativ zu verbreiten.

Der hybride Krieg ist real - warum zögert Scholz?

Russia’s Wartime Economy isn’t as Weak as it Looks

Russia’s economic resilience is defying expectations, enabling the Kremlin to sustain its war efforts in Ukraine despite mounting challenges, and raising doubts about hopes for a swift resolution.

Zitat von Richard Connolly - Royal United Services Institute, 22.01.25

[...] Although Russia undoubtedly faces significant challenges, there is little to suggest that these will result in any significant political consequences that might prompt the Kremlin to rein in its ambitions in Ukraine.

The tight labour market has benefitted many Russians used to stagnant income growth in the decade before the war. Real wages have soared since 2022, fuelling the fastest sustained growth in consumer spending in over a decade. Soaring military production and record-high wages for soldiers have helped reduce some of Russia’s chronic regional inequalities.

Crucially, the absence of a large pool of latent labour need not constrain growth so long as labour productivity continues to rise. Russia’s low-productivity economy means that there are plenty of easy wins available for firms prepared to undertake simple organisational changes or investment in new machinery.

Inflation also has its advantages. Rising prices send important signals to firms to expand supply by investing in areas where prices are growing fastest. Investment – chronically low for most of the post-Soviet period – has grown faster than GDP since the war began. Rising prices have also helped swell public coffers, with turnover taxes like VAT growing at record levels and boosting the Kremlin’s fiscal position.

The CBR’s record-high key rate is not as damaging as it might be in a Western economy, either. Large swathes of Russian business – including those in strategically important sectors – can access state-subsidised loans at considerably lower interest rates. Even those firms unable to access subsidised loans will be able to use record-high retained earnings to finance investment.

Russian consumers have also benefitted from state support. Most mortgages offered during the recent housing boom were taken on at subsidised rates.

Even the extent to which Russia has a ‘war economy’ is exaggerated. While the broad NATO measure of military expenditure is likely to account for around 40% of federal spending this year, this will amount to closer to 20% of Russia’s consolidated state spending (that is, including both regional and national expenditure).

Although this is high, it is comparable to US military spending during the Vietnam War. The militarisation of the economy has undoubtedly grown. However, it remains well below the crippling levels observed in the ‘hyper-militarised’ Soviet economy.

Importantly, many of the features of true war economies – such as price controls, the centralised allocation of resources, and widespread nationalisation of private sector assets – have yet to appear in Russia. [...]

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Vielleicht klappt's ja dann mit dem 17. EU-Sanktionspaket?

Zitat von Roy

Gibt sicher einige Experten, die da ganz gruselige Erkenntnisse für die eigene desolate Wirtschaft draus ableiten könnten.

Also in dem Artikel wird u. a. beschrieben, wie der Fachkräftemangel in Russland zu höheren Löhnen führte, wie das den russischen Binnenmarkt belebt hat, wie die russischen Unternehmen dadurch dazu angereizt wurden, die Produktivität durch Investitionen in neue Technologie zu erhöhen und wie der russische Staat die ganze Sause auch noch großzügig subventioniert, ohne sich um irgendwelche Schuldenbremsen zu scheren.

Ich bezweifle stark, dass sich davon irgendein deutscher Experte der hier was zu melden hat, dazu inspiriert fühlen wird, dem deutschen Staat ähnliches zu empfehlen.

Lohnerhöhungen, Direkte Staatliche Subventionen ohne Fiskaldisziplin, ein Infaltionsziel(!) von 4% das permanent mit bis zu 8,4% überschritten wird, etc.?

Jede/r deutsche Ökonom/in mit relevanter Reichweite, die das öffentlich forderte, würde unter tosendem Beifall der gesamten bürgerlichen Mitte von der Qualitätspresse als Ketzerin wider die Ökonomische Vernunft auf dem Scheiterhaufen verbrannt werden.

Conolly kritisert es ja auch selbst am Ende:

Zitat von RUSI - a.a.O.

[...] To be clear, Russia’s economic prospects are far from rosy. Property rights remain weak, and the state’s role in the economy is high and growing. The vagaries of the international oil market always retain the potential to generate a strong external shock. Western sanctions will also continue to raise the cost of doing business and restrict the flow of know-how to Russian businesses. As a result, Russia is unlikely to join the ranks of high-income countries any time soon.

However, the country’s poor long-term prognosis should not lead us to overlook its short-term resilience. Throughout its 500-year history, Russia’s economic system has rarely delivered broad-based growth or economy-wide innovation for long. Instead, the needs of the market have usually been subordinated to the needs of the state, often to enable the Kremlin to pursue security-related objectives.

Today’s system is no different. Designed to ensure that the Kremlin can pursue a sovereign foreign policy against the interests of the collective West, it is doing its job. The market is strong enough to give the system adaptability and dynamism. And the state is strong enough to ensure that sufficient resources are mobilised towards achieving its security objectives.

For as long as this equilibrium remains intact, Russia will be able to generate the necessary economic resources to sustain enough military power to wage war in Ukraine and, over the longer term, to rearm for a prolonged confrontation with the West. Any hopes that its economic vulnerabilities will bring it to the negotiating table are therefore unlikely to be realised.

Für eine freiheitlich-demokratische Marktwirtschaft des Freien Westens ist das natürlich undenkbar und kann so nur unter autokratischen Regimen und ganz sicher nicht dauerhaft funktionieren.

Man kann aber auch einfach mal die Analyse inhaltlich annehmen - selbst wenn man mit deren Fazit nicht einverstanden sein sollte - ohne dem Autor dabei irgendwelche verschwiegenen Hintergedanken zu unterstellen. Er schreibt doch ziemlich deutlich was er denkt.